In a July 28 research note, Stifel analyst Stephen Soock reported that the new mill being built at MAG Silver Corp.'s (MAG:TSX; MAG:NYSE American) Juanicipio joint venture project with Fresnillo should be ready for the planned Q4/21 commissioning.
Also, Soock highlighted that MAG should rerate and will likely begin paying a dividend once commercial production at the new Juanicipio plant gets underway. Currently, the company's stock is trading at about CA$24 per share, and Stifel's target price on it is CA$29 per share.
MAG "demands a higher premium given its 'royalty-like' structure and strong, near-term free cash flow," Soock wrote.
He described the status of development work at the plant, where all major equipment is in place. Initial construction of the tailings dam has been resequenced and resized. In progress are construction of the fine ore bin, cladding of the building's exterior, and preparation of the stopes for full production.
While construction continues at the project, Soock pointed out, the Juanicipio deposit continues to grow via drilling. The newly discovered mineralized vein network could lead to additional discoveries.
"We believe there are additional economic ore deposits on the joint venture ground, the value of which will be realized in the market as Juanicipio comes into production (at the end of 2021) and focus shifts to regional exploration," the analyst added.
Soock also reported that during Q2/21, Juanicipio produced a total of 435,000 ounces of silver and 787 ounces of gold from ore processed at the nearby Fresnillo plant. Production fell short of Stifel's estimate because slightly fewer tonnes were processed. Until the Juanicipio plant is commissioned, ore processing at the project will continue at Fresnillo's plant.
Stifel rates MAG Silver Buy.
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Disclosures:
1) Doresa Banning compiled this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor. She or members of her household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. She or members of her household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.
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Disclosures from Stifel Nicolaus Canada Incorporated, MAG Silver, July 28, 2021
I, Stephen Soock, certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities or issuers; and I, Stephen Soock, certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this research report.
Our European Policy for Managing Research Conflicts of Interest is available at www.stifel.com/institutional/ImportandDisclosures.
Stifel Canada or an affiliate expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from MAG Silver Corp. in the next 3 months.
The equity research analyst(s) responsible for the preparation of this report receive(s) compensation based on various factors, including Stifel's overall revenue, which includes investment banking revenue.
Stifel or any of its affiliates may have positions in the securities mentioned and may make purchases or sales of such securities from time to time in the open market or otherwise and may sell to or buy from customers such securities on a principal basis; such transactions may be contrary to recommendations in this report.
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