What's with Gold?

Dow Theory Letters (03/18/2010)


What's with gold? The daily chart above shows gold in what I consider a variation of a "head-and-shoulders bottom." The upside breakout would come if gold can close above the horizontal blue resistance line, which comes in at about $1,140 on April gold. If $1,140 and then $1,150 are bettered, I think gold would try for the high just above $1,200. Patience, sit tight. It looks to me as though gold is in the process of being accumulated.

Note: Week after week goes by and no signs of central bank selling. In fact, if there is any activity from the central banks, it's quiet and sub-rosa buying of gold. The ratio of total gold to total fiat money continues to grow. The greater the total supply of fiat currency, the greater upward pressure on gold.

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